Discussion with Pierre Zalloua on 'Ancestors'
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Discussion with Pierre Zalloua on 'Ancestors'
21:02
The Base Rate Fallacy in Cardiology with respect to LDL
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The Base Rate Fallacy in Cardiology with respect to LDL
3:24
Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Finding Signal in a Small Sample.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Finding Signal in a Small Sample.
4:47
The IQ debate, a conclusion
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The IQ debate, a conclusion
5:39
Universa's Bernoulli for Portfolio Simulation: Correcting the Empirical Distribution
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Universa's Bernoulli for Portfolio Simulation: Correcting the Empirical Distribution
30:56
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 4
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 4
1:02:53
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 3
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 3
1:05:24
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 2
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 2
1:06:34
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 1
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 1
1:09:42
STEPHEN WOLFRAM VISITS RWRI 19, SUMMER SCHOOL 2024
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
STEPHEN WOLFRAM VISITS RWRI 19, SUMMER SCHOOL 2024
1:56:34
How to bluff when you don't know what you are talking about.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
How to bluff when you don't know what you are talking about.
1:31
MINI LECTURE 18: How to build a positive definite correlation matrix for Monte Carlo simulations
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 18: How to build a positive definite correlation matrix for Monte Carlo simulations
4:23
MINI LECTURE 17: Maximum Ignorance Probability (a bit more technical)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 17: Maximum Ignorance Probability (a bit more technical)
5:03
MINI LECTURE 16: On the Absurdity of Standard Genetics Reports.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 16: On the Absurdity of Standard Genetics Reports.
6:22
Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop)
2:17:45
MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity.
12:13
MINI TUTORIAL: How to look at risk ratios & deal with disinformation: Saturated Fats & Nina Teicholz
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI TUTORIAL: How to look at risk ratios & deal with disinformation: Saturated Fats & Nina Teicholz
8:24
A medical paper that does not replicate. Why?
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
A medical paper that does not replicate. Why?
3:54
No, Covid is not an "old" person's problem.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
No, Covid is not an "old" person's problem.
4:49
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 2: We don't use Black-Scholes, the simpler derivation vindicating Bachelier.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 2: We don't use Black-Scholes, the simpler derivation vindicating Bachelier.
10:51
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 1: Deriving Black-Sholes via Itô's lemma (the dynamic hedging approach)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 1: Deriving Black-Sholes via Itô's lemma (the dynamic hedging approach)
15:36
Disinformation and Fooled by Randomness
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Disinformation and Fooled by Randomness
5:57
QUANT FINANCE 1 - Why We Never Use the Black Scholes Equation, 1
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
QUANT FINANCE 1 - Why We Never Use the Black Scholes Equation, 1
16:12
Conversation with Yaneer on Covid with mild disagreements.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Conversation with Yaneer on Covid with mild disagreements.
23:48
MINI LECTURE 14 A First Course on Fragility, Convexity, and Antifragility (Nontechnical).
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 14 A First Course on Fragility, Convexity, and Antifragility (Nontechnical).
24:46
MINI LECTURE 13b - Technical Appendix. How to fix the problem of power laws with compact support.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 13b - Technical Appendix. How to fix the problem of power laws with compact support.
5:52
MINI LECTURE 13 - Claims that Violence Has Dropped Are Not Statistical
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 13 - Claims that Violence Has Dropped Are Not Statistical
16:43
MINI LECTURE 12: How to Look at the Risks of Covid Vaccines
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 12: How to Look at the Risks of Covid Vaccines
4:56
MINI LESSON 11b: Drawdowns and Logs
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LESSON 11b: Drawdowns and Logs
5:33
MINI LESSON 11: Path dependence in 2 ½ minutes
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LESSON 11: Path dependence in 2 ½ minutes
2:30
MINI LESSON 10: Simpson's Paradox & Its Exploitation by Covid Sociopaths in 3 ½ min.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LESSON 10: Simpson's Paradox & Its Exploitation by Covid Sociopaths in 3 ½ min.
3:36
Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes.
2:40
MINI LESSON 9c: Detecting Quackery in a Psychology Paper
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LESSON 9c: Detecting Quackery in a Psychology Paper
11:45
MIN-LESSON 9b: 2 min technical comments for Mini Lesson 9.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MIN-LESSON 9b: 2 min technical comments for Mini Lesson 9.
1:56
MINI-LESSON 9: Evidence Based Science & Mistakes in Particularizing the General (Simplified)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 9: Evidence Based Science & Mistakes in Particularizing the General (Simplified)
13:51
Comments on the "Bitcoin Black Paper" (Why Bitcoin is Worth Exactly 0)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Comments on the "Bitcoin Black Paper" (Why Bitcoin is Worth Exactly 0)
13:47
MIN-LESSON 8b: (Power Laws) Q& A
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MIN-LESSON 8b: (Power Laws) Q& A
13:36
MINI-LESSON 8: Power Laws (maximally simplified)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 8: Power Laws (maximally simplified)
23:51
MINI LESSON 7: P-Values and P-Value Hacking: a simplified lecture.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LESSON 7: P-Values and P-Value Hacking: a simplified lecture.
9:26
MINI-LESSON 6: Fooled by Metrics (Correlation)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 6: Fooled by Metrics (Correlation)
13:46
The Gates Foundation is Repeating the Errors of Mao
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The Gates Foundation is Repeating the Errors of Mao
6:14
MINI-LESSON 5: Correlation, the intuition. Doesn't mean what people usually think it means.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 5: Correlation, the intuition. Doesn't mean what people usually think it means.
14:16
MINI-LESSON 4: CLT, The Central Limit Theorem, a nontechnical presentation.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 4: CLT, The Central Limit Theorem, a nontechnical presentation.
10:28
MINI-LESSON 3: The Law of Large Numbers. A very intuitive introduction.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 3: The Law of Large Numbers. A very intuitive introduction.
10:22
MINI-LESSON 2: Fat Tails, a Very, Very Introductory Presentation.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 2: Fat Tails, a Very, Very Introductory Presentation.
5:32
MINI-LESSON 1: Breaking down intuitively the concept of standard deviation. Why pple don't get it.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI-LESSON 1: Breaking down intuitively the concept of standard deviation. Why pple don't get it.
10:07
How to Price an Election: A Martingale Approach- Discussion with Dhruv Madeka
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
How to Price an Election: A Martingale Approach- Discussion with Dhruv Madeka
26:23
Fake Regression by psychologists
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Fake Regression by psychologists
8:43
Covid Risk Conversation: Yaneer Bar-Yam and Nassim Nicholas Taleb
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Covid Risk Conversation: Yaneer Bar-Yam and Nassim Nicholas Taleb
33:48
Ellipticality and Portfolios: Informal conversation with Raphael Douady (in French)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Ellipticality and Portfolios: Informal conversation with Raphael Douady (in French)
8:22
Ellipticality (Technical)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Ellipticality (Technical)
8:46
Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo
27:42
What You See and Don't See: Hidden Moments of a Probability Distribution.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
What You See and Don't See: Hidden Moments of a Probability Distribution.
4:07
Never use single point estimates for pandemics
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Never use single point estimates for pandemics
3:30
From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben
9:03
MINI LECTURE 8c: A simple tricks to see the effect of power laws
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
MINI LECTURE 8c: A simple tricks to see the effect of power laws
3:56
The Corona Crisis is Not a Black Swan: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Universa Inv. & NYU Tandon)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The Corona Crisis is Not a Black Swan: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Universa Inv. & NYU Tandon)
6:50
How you will go bust on a favorable bet. (Kelly/Shannon/Thorp)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
How you will go bust on a favorable bet. (Kelly/Shannon/Thorp)
8:03
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism
1:30:51
Localism as a Solution for Lebanon, Summary of the LAU Lecture (in Lebanese)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Localism as a Solution for Lebanon, Summary of the LAU Lecture (in Lebanese)
16:00
Lebanon discovers localism
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Lebanon discovers localism
1:41
NOTE TO MINI-LESSON 2- It is a 10 sigma event or are you wrong about the world? Wittgenstein's Ruler
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
NOTE TO MINI-LESSON 2- It is a 10 sigma event or are you wrong about the world? Wittgenstein's Ruler
5:28
IQ is a scientific swindle --A brief explanation of the math
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
IQ is a scientific swindle --A brief explanation of the math
5:06
Recording #57
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Recording #57
0:53
Merhaba
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Merhaba
0:31
Explaining both the XIV trade and why forecasting is BS
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Explaining both the XIV trade and why forecasting is BS
5:52
Weak and Strong Non-Ergodicities
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Weak and Strong Non-Ergodicities
6:04
How to write Lebanese (in Lebanese)
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
How to write Lebanese (in Lebanese)
4:38
Problem with Semitic Linguistics and Categorization
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Problem with Semitic Linguistics and Categorization
2:28
Jouer sa peau
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Jouer sa peau
6:42
Naive empiricism, terrorism & Ebola.
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Naive empiricism, terrorism & Ebola.
10:08
The Randomness of Correlation and its Hacking by Bigdataists
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The Randomness of Correlation and its Hacking by Bigdataists
14:50
The probability distribution of p values
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The probability distribution of p values
9:41
The Law of Large Numbers and Fat Tailed Distributions
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
The Law of Large Numbers and Fat Tailed Distributions
25:51
How Increasing Benefits Increases the Risk of Ruin
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
How Increasing Benefits Increases the Risk of Ruin
5:48
Sornette vs. Taleb Diametrically Opposite Approaches to Risk & Predictability
N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
Sornette vs. Taleb Diametrically Opposite Approaches to Risk & Predictability
45:48