That drought is working it’s way towards me here in IL. Parts of Iowa are pretty dry, Kansas and MO, very dry. I participate in a war gam project that plays out a ten year drought and how organic regenerative production can perform. I can farm for 10 years with 6” of annual precip, but it wouldn’t be pretty. I’d push back all the rental ground, it’s not developed the way the main farm is, and after 5 years I have 3900 acres I own that would stall out completely, leaving me with the 1500 acre main farm to work, with all its ponds and the little sea of water under it. We use boom irrigation, only the wells on the main farm would hold up. The ponds would be dry in 5 years. Our river system here is dammed up with locks, so with a moon shot level project, we could hold back water and irrigate more. Maybe even run some pipelines off the Great Lakes. Even that loses steam eventually according to the experts. It very interesting taking part in that research, but it makes me wonder why they would go through all that effort.
The question is not only how we small farmers have to brace ourselves but what can we do to make the most of the coming crises. Your research is spot on looking at peaks and drops in similar market conditions and for those of us who are too small to benefit right now, lets still heed the call to build towards the next cycle.
By the way Shepherdess, I could be wrong, I am no meteorologist, but I am expecting a very cold winter similar to 2021 this winter. I think that this heat will break in early September, and the cool weather will begin sooner than normal. This will present a problem being that there is little hay to purchase at reasonable prices. My brother-in-law raises cattle, and he always keeps an extra year's supply of feed in the barns. He learned from past drought years when he had to buy feed at confiscatory prices. This summer in Texas has been similar to 2011 when we only recorded 6 inches of rain for the whole year. Previous to that was 1980 when we had over 60 straight days of 100 or higher with no rain. This summer we are on track to have 75 days of 100 or higher. Beware of the coming winter of 2024, we very well may have weather that is normal for Iowa, it would be good to have built up a feed supply by then. Then there is the possibility for economic collapse which will increase as the years go by, the problem will be rustlers and raiders in a severe collapse, you will need people to help guard. The further away from large cities the greater the security.
Great video to watch.
Good lesson. Yes if anyone would know the cattle business better than Corbett Wall on Feeder Flash I don’t know who it would be. Yes I do believe grass farming is where it’s at and the corner stone to a smoother livestock outfit. Thank You so much for the lesson. Blessings on your farm.
Thanks for raising the food we eat. Love u
You continue to grow as a utuber and a voice for grass based livestock management. Its been a pleasure to watch you grow and I value the content you provide. Well Done! Very Well Done. As an average sized beef producer (based upon USDA stats) I have the same basic perspective you espouse to your audiance. Direct market is generally a higher profit margin for the producer. Because of my size, I still must rely upon private treaty or sale barn outlets for animals that will not meet the criteria for a grass finished animal, reproductive quality, or simply overflow of stock that I dont have customers for. Speaking to sale barn pricing, 3 weeks ago feeders were down in my area 4 to 10. I got lucky or was actually right for a change, and last week destocking due to the drought my 5 weight calves brought 170 or 900+ per head. Wet calves, not vac, no deworming, no creep, polled red and blacks 7 to 8 months, from 1150 pound cows that went through a season of 330 days of grazing at a stocking rate of one animal unit per 2 acres in northwest Arkansas. Their grazing lands had not been fertilized in 6 years, no blanket herbicide application. They received new forage daily to every 3 days; quality water, salt, mineral. Thats it. My inputs are so far below the standard. Profit per acre is such a valuable measurement yet many producers dont calculate that. I say all this to support your message, particularly related to genetics. My personal expirence is there is more genetic diversity within breeds than there is between breeds. What this means is top producing animals of any breed will have good adg, carcass yeild, conversion rates, gestation lenght, maternial, etc..yet we have all witnessed horrible examples of any breed. The animals I sold at the local sale barn did very well. It didnt matter that they were not "feef lot" type animals (think "grass vs feed lot" genetics).Good conformation, phenotype, frame score, regional adaptability, and temperament are top 5. Breed and genetics really dont matter as much as its touted by the folks selling the brand. For clarity the calves I described above that sold for 937 were Gelbvieh Angus cross. The right type of animal is far more important than the right breed of animal. Take care and thanks for the work you do!
I am about to sell our summer grazers in a month this is good news.
2011 drought SUCKED!!!! We were feeding a small breeding herd of quarter horses on hay because we lived in West Texas on a small property with zero grass. We were paying $270 for 4x5 round bales of crap hay! It was killing us!!! I lost my stallion and 1 of my best fillies to colic in 2012 because it had been so hot and dry for so long. We didn’t fully recover from the drought conditions in North/West Texas until 2015/2016.
That is great info to know. I have pasture and have been debating fencing in unused pasture ground and trying to buy young stock in the spring and selling them in the fall after summer pasture only. The thought being even in an stagnant market, their weight gain and growth should add some pricing protection.
With a terrible drought, and hay prices now at $400/ton here, I have to take all my sheep to the sale barn Monday. It’s sickening.
I bought cattle when they were selling them off and remember selling weaned calves for $1000 at the sale. Sold my herd when I was offered an outrageous price. Maybe time to buy more now…
We are glad you came to Virginia! :)
Just drove across Texas and New Mexico. Wow, the grass in New Mexico is so tall and green. They are going to be doing really well.
Love Corbit Wall. You gonna do a video update on the booming market right now? Looks like y’all were right.
Do you know a website for finding processors with usda inspector on site? For selling meat in smaller quantity. Is this the route you go? I'm in northern Arkansas and they seem to be kinda few unless I've missed some. Thank you! Good video
Wonderful Grace, good job pointing out that no amount of passion can alter the pattern of the cattle cycle. That can be hard to deal with when just starting out and all you want to do is grow!😬 But we are due for another drought, and we must stay vigilant as a watchman on the wall for these things, just as God wants us to. Take care, and God bless!
Thank you for All your help 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
This is why you need to take advantage of sell/buy marketing. Sell the overvalued and buy the undervalued.
@rotisseriebear5394