💯 Thank you for adding your voice to this conversation. I feel like you are speaking for those of us who don't have a platform. I used to be against pausing or slowing down AI development. I was a "full speed ahead" advocate. You challenged me to think about these questions more carefully. I've reconsidered my stance because of conversations like this. Thank you.
The number of generations that go from "You need meaningful work to be satisfied" to "It sure would have sucked to live when you had to work 40 hours/week just to stay alive" will be exactly one.
By 2030 we will have ASI, AGI is just a few months away at this point (summer of 2025 at the latest).
Poderemos curtir os filhos, amigos e companheiros. Não precisaremos cumprir horário de trabalho e ter tantos compromissos. Precisaremos apenas de vendedores criativos
There is no avoiding it because if one corporation/country doesn't do it, another one will. It's a wrap.
Human beings are slowly becoming a vanishing species and will soon become aliens on this earth!!
Sinceramente, quem dá crédito ao Elon Musk vai acabar perdendo o crédito.
22:20 depending upon the criteria we already have machines that are much more intelligent than us in very narrow applications. Yeah as far as I know the machines that can do alpha fold and alphago and so forth are not self-aware or have self-agency and self-will.
I also fall in the camp of humans just being a point in evolution. We evolved from Homo Erectus to Homo Sapiens, and our intelligence has allowed is to develop the types of advanced technologies we see today. I think that the only difference with the next step of evolution compared to our last step is that we have control over the next result.
Regarding what Bill Joyce said in the year 2000. Well there's a lot of things that most of us cannot do such as I don't know how to grow my own food I don't know how to hunt I can't build a fire in the woods and 95% of us and civilization cannot do any of those things. I cannot generate my own electricity can't make my own gasoline refinery to power the generator I need to buy in order to generate electrics in case the grid goes down so it could be argue that to a great extent what bill joys is simply talking about is that we just simply move from not being able to build their own fires or whatever which we are now to basically offloading a lot of other or automating certain aspects of decision making to machines. I think that we can use the machines to help us make better choices but then it's us ourselves the ultimately have to choose. Once again let's get back to the idea of the difference between intelligence versus consciousness and agency and so on.
21:37 there is a difference between actually getting something like fully human-like general intelligence and society adopting it. We've had chat GPT for coming up on two years now and there's still a large percentage of people who don't even know what it is at this moment.
30:12 "machine decisions will be better than man decisions". Or we could basically think of this in the same way that we now think of like using calculators to do math problems instead of slide rules and paper. We still have to determine what we want to do with that I don't care if it is a slide rule in a piece of paper that you did your math on or whether or not you use a computer to do that work 150 times faster so.
16:40 it might be that just because it's possible to do something we may not actually end up doing it. It's possible to build a Dyson swarm and then beam all the power to perhaps a moon made out of computroneum but that would be so expensive right now and so it's will never be done unless you could bring the cost of it down. Even at this moment they're talking about how the we're going to have some real bottlenecks as far as hardware and energy to build sufficient compute for the really advanced systems people are thinking about. However I think the best route would be to have the computers figure out how to create new algorithms that run on less energy less hardware and are smarter than the ones that were created up to that point.
Our species has demonstrated since the first stone and flint tools, collectively, we are unable to use technology responsibly over the long term. That is the evolutionary mistake that will likely cause the reset for another species to try.
There is a difference between actual chest plane intelligence or even super intelligence, because we do have some narrow super intelligence at this moment, but the real issue and the real danger is if you actually do go all the way and build a machine that also has human emotions ego ambitions and so forth. As long as we keep these machines as nothing more than perhaps a quadrillion fold improvement over a handheld calculator basically or word predictor or what have you, they will just simply be really really good at what we need them to do. Also I'm going to go so far as to say that having reasoners will be a good thing and the reason being there is a extreme shortage of reasonable thinking by the human race at this moment so there for a week I'd use agents it could help with us in the same way that we use handheld calculators to help us do more difficult math.
Thanks, dear Gerd. This one needs Spanish subtitles for broader circulation! Visionary Ethics Foundation
It's Baldrick in charge at Microsoft AI!
18:20 That's a good question. Intelligence is a tool for humanity so therefore it's not a question of valuing one over the other it is a question of whether or not it serves humanity.
@guleed33