Peter Zeihan is truly becoming the Jim Cramer of geopolitics
It’s impossible to predict. Peter confidently stated Trump would not be able to win a second term. Yet, here we are.
Just remember, this is the guy that said Trump had no chance of getting reelected.
Imagine you're working a couple rows over in the vinyard and out of the blue, you hear some guy a few feet away talking to himself about geopolitics? That must be a mindf*ck.
As a local Chinese, I like America and American people. Without USA, I can't even access google or youtube by VPN, so I hope both China and American prosperous. Zeihan just use some words to get traffic, some influencers do the same in China. They talked about nationalism & strategy with lots of followers. For me, the most important things is family and health. Influencers and politicians have their specific purpose, and they are not insterested in the truth.
Zeihan, the epitome of sophistry. If I had a dollar for every time this guy got things wrong, I would own an Abrams tank or a leopard2.😄
8 years ago Zeihan predicted China will cease to exist within a decade. He's still saying the same thing. After 10 years China would still cease to exist within another decade lmao 😂
Peter doesn’t talk about what might happen, he tells us what he wants to happen.
Peter, you have been wrong on Trump so many times I'm beginning to think you are describing yourself..... Not President Trump.
i think "dissolution of the han ethnicity" is a bold claim. we're talking about maybe a billion people becoming a hundred million over decades - that's still bigger than most countries, and still leaves time for them to turn it around. as always Peter's predictions come with the caveat "if things continue unchanged", which of course they won't, because people respond dynamically to problems
I had half a child this morning. I feel much better now.
I agree that Chinas future doesn’t look good, but as far as I can tell we’re at the start of this process, not near the end. The soviet economy peaked in growth in the 60s, but lasted another 30 years before imploding.
What I have learned is that whenever Zeihan says that Trump can't do something, Trump is probably going to do the thing that Zeihan said he couldn't do.
China's exports are at a record high, except for America, where they are at a record low. Peter's predictions are as accurate as a broken clock.
Its a miracle. He mentioned the philippines. I thought i would never see the day
Peter has interesting background insights, but has a couple of weaknesses. First, he is polemical in his political opinions, which pollutes good analysis, and second, he goes out on a limb, making predictions about things with too many factors to pin down. His analysis framework is great, but these weaknesses have the effect of steadily lowering the value of his commentary over time.
The more I look back at this guy’s predictions, the more I realize why he makes YouTube videos.
It's funny, it's March 17 and the latest US inflation report says inflation is slightly down and trending down.
Isn’t this the same guy who said Trump had no chance of winning in 2024?
@laplaptop