Ray Dalio is Wrong (HERE’S WHY)

Ray Dalio warns that the economic storm brewing today could be even more disruptive than past crises, echoing concerns from the 1930s, 1971, and 2008. I dig into his points on monetary inflation, rising deficits, and the fragile balance between debt and GDP—underscoring how unsustainable borrowing could lead to catastrophic consequences if interest rates surge. While I respect Dalio's insights, I challenge some of the alarmism and overcomplication. Recessions, to me, are necessary corrections that clear out excess and reset the economy. As investors, we can't control government policies, but we can control our own behavior: save more, spend wisely, and stay disciplined. Long-term, I still believe stocks will be higher, but with current valuations so inflated, patience and smart strategy—like dollar cost averaging—are essential.

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