Why China will not win the trade war (big picture)

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Further reading mentioned in the video:
American tariffs are starting to hammer Chinese exporters: www.economist.com/china/2025/04/29/american-tariff…
The trouble with MAGA’s manufacturing dream: www.economist.com/business/2025/04/28/the-trouble-…
Which stockmarkets have benefited from the chaos on Wall Street?: www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2025/04/28/which-…

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SOURCES:
I've linked my sources in the blog that goes along with this video. Links are in the text.
www.moneymacro.rocks/2025-05-08-trade-war-winner/

Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
02:08 The rise and fall of global hegemons
10:22 China Wins
14:05 US wins
16:20 Likely scenario
17:19 Conclusion + sponsor

Attribution:
Music by Epidemic Sound: nebula.tv/epidemic
Thank you to AP Archive for access to their archival footage.
Stock footage and others clips by Getty

Narrated and produced by Dr. Joeri Schasfoort