This Magic Number Predicts 95% Accuracy For Retirement Success

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Resources:

Kitces Research - https://www.kitces.com/blog/retiremen...

$5M Early Retirement Portfolio (Full Breakdown) -    • $5M Early Retirement Portfolio (Full Break...  

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All content is not to be received as financial advice and each individual should consult with their dedicated financial planner, tax preparer, estate attorney, etc. before making any financial decisions.

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0:00 - Rethinking the Retirement “Number”
0:31 - The Problem with Portfolio Size
1:14 - A Smarter Way to Frame Retirement
2:00 - Understanding “Probability of Success”
2:45 - Pitfalls of Chasing 100%
3:33 - How Dynamic Spending Really Works
4:16 - Vanguard’s Take on Guardrails
5:02 - A Closer Look at Income Adjustments
6:02 - Walking Through a Guardrails Example
7:01 - Common Scenarios Guardrails Miss
8:00 - Introducing the Risk-Based Approach
9:00 - A Real Client Example: John & Mary
10:00 - Adjusting to Market Highs and Lows
11:00 - How This Held Up in the Worst Markets
12:20 - The Key to Real Confidence in Retirement
13:00 - Your Magic Number, Reimagined